ASSESSMENT OF THE EFFECTS OF EL NIŅO PHENOMENON IN PHILIPPINE AGRICULTURE

 

                                                                                        

Abstract

The study was conducted to evaluate the impact of the 1997-1998 El Niņo on the agriculture sector compare it with the past occurrences and draw up some policy recommendations. The study covered a total of 30 barangays in 15 provinces all over the country. Primary data were gathered using group discussions with key informants in the barangays. Secondary data on the damages and mitigating measures were gathered at the national level.

Every new episode of the drought was more severe than the last. This was reflected in the area affected, production losses and value of damages, with losses in corn always higher than those in rice. The 1982-83 drought affected 152,660 hectares of rice land, incurring production losses of 628,480 MT valued at P851,955. This more than doubled during the 1991-1992 El Niņo. For the 1997-1998 El Niņo, production losses reached 1.8 million MT valued at P12 M and covering an area of 961,396 hectares.

Production of crops such as rice, corn, vegetables, and fruits , as well as livestock were severely affected by the drought. The drought was most felt during the dry season in the survey areas. A third cropping of rice became impossible. During the dry season, yield of lowland rice was only 5% of yields during normal times, while upland rice farmers were unable to  harvest. For yellow and white corn, yield during the dry season cropping declined by 37%  and 27%, respectively, thereby decreasing production by 42% and 38%, respectively. The third crop of corn was planted only in half the normal planting area. Other crops that were negatively affected in the surveyed barangays included cassava, rubber, lanzones, banana, tobacco, and vegetables. Livestock production decreased partly because there were thinner grasses for grazing and feeding and some were sold partly to provide income for farmers to enable them to cope with the drought. Swine, goat, and cattle were disposed of, while poultry were affected by the avian pest and heat stroke.

During the peak of the drought, 55% of rice areas and 70% of corn farms had scarce water supply. The rest of the farms had no water. Natural sources of water for household use were either dried up, decreased in water level or intruded with salt. Only 5% of the surveyed barangays reported that they still had plenty of water for household use.

The common mitigating measures implemented by different organizations in the barangays included swine dispersal, free fertilizers, and rice , provision of credit for livestock and crop production, cash loan, discounted  price for insecticides, and income generating activities for women. The mitigating measures provided by the local and national governments included provision of shallow tube wells, construction of small farm reservoirs, small water impounding projects; rehabilitation of irrigation systems costing some P2.7M as of August 1998; direct assistance like distributions of seeds, fertilizers, and pesticides, costing P219 M as of October 1998; cloud seeding which has 1,300 sorties covering 1,874 hours; information and educational campaign; food for work program; and research and development.

Non government organizations were also active in helping barangays mitigate the effects of the drought. Notable of these included the Red Cross, Tabang Mindanao and the Caritas Manila. Total fund effort netted almost P92.5 M excluding donations in goods and services. The fund was used to buy 108,769 sacks of rice distributed to 252,000 families in Mindanao. This translated to less than half of sack of rice per family.

The project noted however that the mitigating measures, especially those aimed at helping production of rice, corn,  and vegetables were not successful. Availment of STWs needed so much paperwork before they could be released. Those who were able to put up the STWs found that water no longer flowed in the wells. The program on distribution of vegetable seeds was not successful because the available water in the barangays were not enough to sustain its planting growth. Cloud seeding operations were not successful in inducing enough water for the farms.

The coping mechanisms of the farm households included planting other crops; selling of livestock for income; borrowing  of money for farm inputs and household use; looking for alternative sources of income whether within or outside of the barangays; gambling, reducing quality and quantity of meals and letting the children stop school.


Source: Aida R. Librero; Fezoil Luz C. Decena; and Aleta Belissa C. Durana. PCARRD. Terminal Report., June 1999.

For more information, please contact PCARRD.


{ top }